Historical completion graphs

Assessments dated November 7, 2026; chart layout updated November 8, 2026. Each area has its own page containing one graph with four dated lines.

Download the 14-page report - one landscape page per area.

Dates and method

November 7, 2025: one year ago; retrospective estimate.

May 7, 2026: six calendar months ago; retrospective estimate.

October 7, 2026: one calendar month ago; retrospective estimate.

November 7, 2026: the existing saved assessment, unchanged.

The earlier values were reconstructed now; they were not recorded on those dates. They use the same five-part rubric, with evidence available by each cutoff. Confidence is very low for the reconstructions and low for the saved current judgments. Percentages are not measured completion, benchmark accuracy, elapsed time or probability of reaching the endpoint.

Sources with later revisions are limited to the earlier version or original claims identified in the notes. Where a precise release date was not verified, the evidence is conservatively delayed or excluded. A later correction may reduce an estimate; that indicates revised evidence, not necessarily a loss of capability. Publication dates are not dates when a capability suddenly appeared.

No linear interpolation, fixed monthly increment, or requirement for steady increases was used. Flat scores mean no documented reason to cross a rubric threshold, not proof that nothing changed. Zero can mean insufficient qualifying evidence. The review is selective, not an exhaustive historical survey.

Each graph overlays four dated lines on the same outcome order and 0-100% scale. Colors, dash patterns and nested markers distinguish dates; identical scores overlap without shifting values. Compare dates at the same outcome; slopes between different outcomes are not rates of progress. The point labels show the saved November 7, 2026 values; all exact values appear in each page's table. Outcomes are not averaged into area scores.

Area pages

Reproducibility

The history data ledger contains all component judgments, source dates and per-outcome explanations. The chart generator checks all 85 current totals against their detailed files and rejects any historical source dated after its snapshot. The original current graph and outcome files are preserved.