Robotics: completion history

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Created November 7, 2026. The three earlier snapshots are retrospective judgment-based estimates, not scores recorded at the time. The current assessment is unchanged. Historical confidence is very low; current confidence is low. Zero can indicate an evidence gap rather than absent capability.

Chart layout updated November 8, 2026: one graph with four dated lines. Scores and assessment dates are unchanged. Overlapping lines indicate equal values; point labels show November 7, 2026. The table below contains every date's exact values.

Scalable graph | Combined 14-page report

Percentage estimates

Reconstruction notes and component scores

Components below are execution / breadth / agenda-setting / validation / sustained autonomous improvement, each out of 20. Their sum gives the percentage. The component values are judgments, not published statistics. Source links document evidence available by the cutoff, not the numerical estimate itself. The source section lists availability dates and version caveats. No area-wide average is calculated.

Complete task success

Real-world task demonstrations predate all cutoffs. Neither those demonstrations nor a later partial-credit benchmark establish a complete-task rate, so limited credit stays flat.

Generalization

Unfamiliar-home demonstrations support a 2025 transfer baseline. April 2026 compositional and cross-robot evidence broadens the judgment, with coaching still counted.

Intervention rate

Earlier manipulation and coached workflows provide partial autonomy evidence. November's multi-instrument execution adds bounded execution credit but still lacks complete intervention accounting.

Reliability

Selected robot demonstrations support limited reliability credit. The November laboratory step count strengthens execution evidence without establishing failure rates or operating-hour exposure.

Skill acquisition

Earlier heterogeneous training supports a precursor. April's language-coached acquisition strengthens execution, but total human teaching effort is still unmeasured.

Useful productivity

Earlier manipulation is only a productivity proxy. August's specialized lab throughput supports execution and repeated-operation credit without full output economics.

Dated sources

All sources accessed November 7, 2026. Dates below are publication or conservative availability dates, as noted.

pi05 | 2025-04-22 - pi0.5 open-world generalization. Manipulation in unfamiliar homes; selected demonstrations do not establish failure-free operation.

pi | 2026-04-16 - Physical Intelligence: pi0.7. Transfer and language-coached skill acquisition, with continuing human assistance.

sapp | 2026-08-20 - Protein design validation platform, Nature Communications. Specialized protein characterization throughput; full functional validation cost unmeasured.

Future updates

Keep these reconstructions separate from subsequently recorded observations. Append new dated assessments with changed component scores and source evidence; do not silently replace historical reasoning. The shared historical-method notes describe how these snapshots were made.